Norges Bank Investment Management manages the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund, worth approximately 800 billion dollars and holding 1 percent of global equity markets.
What I am saying is that these guys are not small and take an activist position, divesting companies such as Rio Tinto for causing serious environmental damage.
NBIM has six strategic focus areas for investment, with their top ethical priorities being Children’s Rights, Climate Change Risk Management and Water Management. Specifically they expect food, agriculture, pulp & paper, pharma, mining, water supply and electricity production companies to manage water scarcity risk. Generally they expect companies to make sure their water management is sustainable and that their governance structure can respond to water risks. You can see the details here.
Mekonnen & Hoekstra 2011 tell us that China, (a country with 19.5% of the world’s population and 7% of the renewable fresh water according to National Geographic) bears 22% of the global industrial water footprint and 26% of the grey water footprint (a volumetric measure of pollution).
Clearly if the world is going to continue to manufacture in China, there will be growing pressure on industrial companies from ethical investors like the NBIM to make sure their supply chain is employing best practice water management in China…which will take an enormous capital investment and really transform the industrial water market.
I just got back from Singapore Water Week. Thanks to vigorous support from PUB, and their willingness to twist arms pretty hard, the water industry turn-out for water week was strong.
Interestingly though, the mood in the trade hall was relatively sombre. The major players we spoke to who depend on market growth to grow were somewhat bearish on the rest of 2012.
However new entrants are definitely seeing opportunity to take market share…particularly in industrial water treatment throughout Asia. They seem particularly interested in industrial wastewater, with strengthening environmental regulation in China and SEA forcing industrial customers to clean up their game. Everyone has their eye on Indonesia, trying to judge whether now is the time to jump into that market with both feet. In the meantime domestic EPC players continue to prosper.
In other interesting news Lanxess was pushing their new RO membrane range pretty hard, evidence of the true commoditization of polymer RO membranes for the mid-market. They seemed to have nothing much new to offer from a technology perspective…and seemed to be just hoping to leverage their resin sales network.
Mann +Hummel also had a big presence in the SIWW trade hall, with the UF products they acquired with the Singapore membrane business Ultra-Flo in 2010 on display. They have an active strategy to diversify out of automotive filtration and it will be interesting to see whether they find water as attractive a market as they hope.
With all this activity, as usual there will continue to be a huge demand for bilingual technical sales professionals in growth markets. In water the good sales guys tend to be a barometer for the relative strength of different technology businesses.
H2Otalent anticipates a major boom in the desalination industry in China, as demand for water increased and alternative supply options fall away. H2Otalent’s Isa Cruz attended the Qingdao Desalination Conference last month, attended by representatives from all over the world positioning for a piece of the action.
- H2Otalent’s Isa Cruz at the Qingdao Desalination Conference
This excellent Circle of Blue report documents a proposal by a respected Chinese engineering professor to build a desalination complex that will pump water 3,400 kilometres to Inner Mongolia and provide the water supply to exploit a massive coal field.
While this proposal in controversial, the fact that it is being proposed at all does show how seriously China needs more water.
The South-to-North pipeline project, which was going to effectively take water from the Himalayas to Beijing is bogged down in construction challenges, and expected to yield less water than originally planned.
Desal seems like the only remaining option to stop Beijing drying out. The government agrees, with a substantial increase in desal capacity specifically stated in the latest five-year plan.
Desalination is also one of the more obvious niches where multinational EPC firms looking to make their mark in China can be competitive. Domestic firms have their hands full delivering less complex and risky wastewater and industrial water treatment plants, and few domestic firms have the capability to deliver a large desal plant.
Companies like Aqualyng and Befesa are already delivering plants. A local JV partner will definitely be required, and non-recourse finance is now obtainable for China projects.
A word of warning though, local engineers with desalination experience are still thin on the ground, and in great demand so be prepared to pay top dollar for local talent. Feel free to contact Isa Cruz on firstname.lastname@example.org
for further information on entering the China market.
The global water talent market looks increasingly constrained, with a shortage of mid-level talent even in countries with high levels of unemployment. I cannot emphasise enough that you should build high salaries and talent-shortages into your business planning.
We are observing the most severe talent shortages in Brazil and China, where it is very difficult for global companies to identify English speaking talent with a reasonable level of techical knowledge and relevant experience. I will reiterate that companies should not expect to pay substantially lower salaries for high-impact professionals in China than they would in Europe or North America.
In Brazil they can expect to pay more.
Australia continues to lead the world on water industry salaries, with another resources investment boom working its way through the economy; mine infrastructure construction is sucking up the tiny amount of spare capacity that was there previously. Expect to pay between 1.5x and 2.5x what you would pay in Europe or North America for junior-mid-level Engineering talent.
For high-impact, strategic hires (H2Otalent‘s specialty) you should be prepared to offer both competitive salaries and a compelling organisational structure and strategy. See my earlier post on attracting leaders here.
Even more critically you should have a policy in place for opportunistically hiring and utilising water leadership talent even when you do not have a formal vacancy in your organisation. The alternative is to make-do with whoever happens to be available when you have a vacancy, which could mean the best people going to your competitors.
Could China be bypassing the centralised potable water treatment paradigm and skipping straight to POU?
I recently attended Aquatech China in Shanghai, the biggest water technology trade show in China. There were hundreds of Chinese membrane manufactures present, with both high-pressure and low-pressure membrane solutions. Most were targeting the domestic market, and it was clear that the government endorsed strategy to grow a domestic membrane industry is working.
More interestingly though, at least half, and perhaps two thirds of the exhibitors were selling point-of-use products. Over the years I have heard many people argue that it is ridiculous to send potable quality water through the network for all household use, when only a tiny fraction of the water consumed is actually for human consumption. Third-pipe systems are an alternative, but require costly duplication of infrastructure.
The alternative is to send partially treated water down the network and have consumers treat their own water at point-of-use. This idea is an anathema to those steeped in the John Snow school of taking control away from the consumer for their own good, and seems unlikely to get anywhere in developed countries.
In China however, where the availability of high quality potable water out of the tap is far from universal, but a relatively wealthy and educated middle-class is growing rapidly, demand for high quality potable water is resulting in a high demand for point-of-use treatment solutions.
I wonder if the bulk of China’s cities may bypass the John Snow paradigm and move straight to consumer control of their own water quality.
As part of China’s economic stimulus package they are going to spend US$41b on building sewerage treatment plants to cover most of the country. That is a lot of money to spend in a very short time…I would think it would be a challenge to find the engineering and construction resources to do it. See the story here at china.org.cn